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07/23/2010 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) -
REPORT DATE: July 29th
SITE: Missouri Western State University, St. Joseph, MO
CAMP OBJECTIVES: With a pair of esteemed new coordinators in Charlie Weis (offense) and Romeo Crennel (defense) now in the fold, Chiefs supporters are expecting to witness some signs of life from this franchise during the dog days of summer. One of the pivotal competitions is at running back, where Jamaal Charles comes off a breakout year but the team signed Thomas Jones and spent a second-round pick on Dexter McCluster (Ole Miss). Something has to give there. The team also needs to locate some receivers beyond Dwayne Bowe and Chris Chambers. On defense, a three-man front that was woeful last season despite possessing two former top-five picks (Tyson Jackson, Glenn Dorsey) must make some progress in August. Journeyman Shaun Smith could be the next nose tackle, but will have to beat out incumbent Tank Tyler. In the secondary, fans will get their first meaningful glimpse of Eric Berry (once he signs), but where he plays could be impacted by when the disgruntled Jarrad Page signs his tender. The battle for return duties could be interesting, as rookies McCluster and Javier Arenas (Alabama) were both productive in that realm as collegians.
PRESEASON SCHEDULE:
Aug 13 - at Atlanta, 8:00 PM Aug 21 - at Tampa Bay, 7:30 PM Aug 27 - vs. Philadelphia, 8:00 PM Sep 2 - vs. Green Bay, 8:00 PM
<< Miami Dolphins 2010 Training Camp Preview
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) -
REPORT DATE: July 30th
SITE: Miami Dolphins Training Facility, Davie, FL
CAMP OBJECTIVES: As is appropriate for a team that finished in the bottom half
of the league in most meaningful defensive categories last season
<< Jacksonville Jaguars 2010 Training Camp Preview
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) -
REPORT DATE: July 29th
SITE: Jacksonville Municipal Stadium, Jacksonville, FL
CAMP OBJECTIVES: The two biggest questions for the Jaguars are who is going to
catch the football, and who is going to help prevent other t
<< New York Jets 2010 Training Camp Preview
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) -
REPORT DATES: July 29th (Rookies), Aug. 1st (Veterans)
SITE: SUNY Cortland, Cortland, NY
CAMP OBJECTIVES: Expectations are sky-high for the 2010 Jets, but unforeseen
struggles or injuries during training camp could al
<< Alcaraz finally completes Wigan move
Wigan, England (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - Wigan have finally completed the signing of
Paraguay's World Cup defender Antolin Alcaraz from Club Brugge on a three-year
deal.
The 27-year-old center back stood out in South Africa, heading home his side'
Cleveland Browns 2010 Training Camp Preview >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) -
REPORT DATE: July 23rd (Rookies), July 30th (Veterans)
SITE: Cleveland Browns Training Facility, Berea, OH
CAMP OBJECTIVES: Eric Mangini's second training camp as head coach of the
Browns should go much more smoothly
Denver Broncos 2010 Training Camp Preview >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) -
REPORT DATE: July 26th (rookies), July 31st (veterans)
SITE: Paul D. Bowlen Memorial Broncos Centre, Englewood, CO
CAMP OBJECTIVES: It's going to be a messy summer at the glamour positions for
the Broncos. Kyle Orton
Buffalo Bills 2010 Training Camp Preview >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) -
REPORT DATE: July 29th
SITE: St. John Fisher College, Pittsford, NY
CAMP OBJECTIVES: Chan Gailey, the only new head coach in the AFC in 2010, has
some work cut out for him in his first training camp with the Bills. Fi
Cincinnati Bengals 2010 Training Camp Preview >>
(Sportsbook Betting Lines) -
REPORT DATE: July 28th
SITE: Georgetown College, Georgetown, KY
CAMP OBJECTIVES: After making the playoffs with what was primarily a ground-
control offense last season, the Bengals made a number of moves in the
offs
MySportsbook.com Week 1 odds:
Saints +6 @ Colts -6
Falcons @ Vikings (pick ‘em)
Panthers @ Rams (pick ‘em)
Broncos -3.5 @ Bills +3.5
Chiefs -1 @ Texans +1
Dolphins +3 @ Redskins -3
Patriots -5 @ Jets +5
Eagles -3.5 @ Packers +3.5
Steelers -4 @ Browns +4
Titans +6 @ Jaguars -6
Bears +6 @ Chargers -6
Lions +3 @ Raiders -3
Bucs +6.5 @ Seahawks -6.5
Giants +4 @ Cowboys -4
Ravens +3 @ Bengals -3
Cardinals +3 @ 49ers -3
Super Bowl line (2008)
NFC +6.5 vs. AFC -6.5
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(This is an update of a sportsbook for the May 4th issue of ESPN The Magazine).
The Kentucky Derby's post-position draw happened on Wednesday. And, as is always the case, shortly afterwards, a buzz raced around Churchill Downs. It was a low rumble at first, nothing that the squares in the mint julep crowd pick up right away. But by the time the sun set over the twin spires, the chatter was impossible to ignore. Everyone -- sharps, trainers, owners -- was talking about one thing: the wise guy horse, the pre-draw long shot us mopes didn't have on our radar until it was too late.
"You think you're hearing the scoop," says handicapper Lane Gold. "Then you get to the window, the odds are short, and you missed it."
Recognizing a wise-guy horse early is as hard as picking a Derby bonnet. That's because handicappers don't like hype (see ya, I Want Revenge). They want Thoroughbreds who look good losing prep races like the Santa Anita Derby. They eye horses who ate up the field after starting wide or made an easy transition from synthetic tracks to dirt. They look for ponies who showed muscle gain race to race and those who ran hard after several weeks' rest.
"A wise guy," says John Avello, a bookmaker at Wynn Las Vegas, "looks for a horse who can improve."
When I first wrote Horse Betting for The Mag, which I turned in a three weeks before Wednesday's draw, I predicted these three horses had wise guy potential:
CHOCOLATE CANDY (15-1 in mid-April, currently 20-1 according to Avello): His second-place finish at Santa Anita, following a seven-week layoff, proved two things: He can run after resting, and -- by losing a high-profile prep race -- he wouldn't be overhyped.
DESERT PARTY (15-1; 15-1): He was upset in the UAE Derby by a horse he had beaten twice. The public remembers his loss, but the wise guys his wins.
PIONEEROF THE NILE (8-1; 4-1): The big favorite at Santa Anita struggled to win, so he initially got less hype than Quality Road and I Want Revenge.
You may have noticed that the odds on Pioneerof the Nile have been cut in half, from 8-1 to 4-1. Which means the wise guys took a shine to him long before the post-position draw. But, to be honest, this is one of those years with four elite horses getting everyone's attention, squares and sharps alike.
"You're not gonna get a lot of chatter about a horse that isn't in that group, which includes Pioneer, I Want Revenge, Dunkirk and Friesan Fire," Avello told me Wednesday. "We don't have a group of horses behind those top four who look like real legit contenders."
Come Derby week, the final two elements in picking a wise guy horse are how he's working out and what gate he's coming out of.
(By the way, picking a Preakness favorite is a whole different bale of hay, partially based on how horses finish in the Derby. You can see my analysis of who has the best shot at Pimlico on Insider Sunday morning.)
Well, early in the week I Want Revenge, Pioneerof the Nile and Friesan Fire were working out better than anyone. Some thought Friesan Fire, currently 6-1, might have run too fast, burning a five-furlong run in :57 4/5. "When you are running that fast you have the sense that it took something out of him," says Gold. "The Derby is longer than any horse has run, and if they need that extra surge you worry they won't have it because they burned it in the workout."
But, Gold points out, Friesan Fire's trainer is Larry Jones, Two years ago his horse Hard Spun did a five-eighths workout in :57 3/5 and then went on to finish second, behind Street Sense, in the Derby. "Every trainer has different methods," says Gold. "And clearly he knows what he's doing."
Now, as for starting position, Gold says to remember this: Churchill Downs traditionally has 14 starting gates. For the Derby, it brings out auxiliary gates and between the original 14th gate and the new 15th gate, there is a little more space than there is between gates 1-14. "That 15 position will give you a precious second or two to sort out what's happening to your inside," says Gold. "Sixteen is also okay because you can follow the horse in front of you."
Dunkirk, one of the race favorites, is coming out of gate 15. In 16 is Baffert's Pioneerof the Nile. I Want Revenge drew 13, where Smarty Jones won from in 2004, and Friesan Fire picked the sixth position. "He doesn't have a lot of speed to the inside of him," says Gold. "So he will get a clear shot to be near the front."
All the jibber-jabber means this: Pioneerof the Nile has leapfrogged from 8-1 to being the second favorite, along with Dunkirk, behind I Want Revenge. Meanwhile, Friesan Fire, with a good trainer, a strong week of training and a decent post position, is still at 6-1. "By Saturday, it's possible he could go from fourth to the favorite," says Gold.
In other words, meet Friesan Fire, your 2009 wise guy horse.
"Now," says Avello, "it's time for action."
To visit this horse betting site go to MySportsbook.com for all your horse racing betting needs.
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